At the beginning of the 2021 season, Oregon edge rusher Kayvon Thibodeaux was considered a heavy favorite to be the No. 1 pick in the 2022 NFL Draft and first non-quarterback to be selected. While Thibodeaux still is projected as a top-10 pick, multiple NFL teams picking high in the first round are not in love with Thibodeaux and some think he is overrated.
"I watch Thibodeaux and I see Whitney Mercilus," said an area scout. "I do not see a Von Miller, Khalil Mack, Bosa brother, Myles Garrett, etc.
I see an athletic tweener on the edge who beat some average college offensive tackles on occasion.
I see a solid starter level guy who could have - like Whitney - a couple good seasons if whoever drafts him has a running mate to help Thibodeaux.
I don't see a guy that will cause teams to change protection when going up against a good tackle like Trent Williams, Ronnie Stanley, Laremy Tunsil, Ryan Ramcyzk, and those guys.
I don't know where the top-10 noise came from, other than he was a No. 1-ranked high schooler who had a solid college career.
Jadeveon Clowney, for all his flaws, at least had arguably the greatest sophomore season in college football history before he shut it down as a junior - in large part because he was encouraged to by everyone, including some pro folks, because he was seen as by far the best player in the country.
Thibodeaux is not close to that kind of size, speed, length, freak that Clowney was."
Some sources say they have question if Thibodeaux loves football, and they are worried that he is distracted with "his brand."
Thibodeaux was injured in 2021, and they also see stiffness as an edge rusher.
Thibodeaux still looks like a likely top-10 pick, but teams picking at the very top of the 2022 NFL Draft could end up passing on him despite all the franchises in the top five needing pass-rushing help.