Thoughts and observations on the New York Jets

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Dump Geno Smith? No reason for Jets to make hurry-up decision

Jets QB Geno Smith, who has thrown 27 TD passes and 35 interceptions since being drafted in 2013, has little control of his fate this offseason.
12:41 AM ET
Rich Cimini
ESPN Staff Writer

Thoughts and observations on the New York Jets:

1. Geno's future: Geno Smith will be a player to watch over the next few months, especially if the Jets re-sign Ryan Fitzpatrick. Judging from his season-ending interview with reporters, Smith wants no part of being a backup. He refused to even acknowledge the possibility, saying, "We don't know what's going to transpire." Well, know this, Geno: Fitzpatrick will be the starter if he returns. Todd Bowles said so himself. Unfortunately, Smith wasn't available to comment on Bowles' declaration.

Smith, under contract for 2016, doesn't have many options. What could he do, demand a trade? That would be laughable. The Jets would be hard-pressed to get more than a bucket of Gatorade for Smith, whose career was altered by IK Enemkpali's fist. Smith should grin and bear it for another year; that would be the best thing for both sides.

He's not the present or future anymore, but Smith has value as a backup because he's experienced (29 starts) and counts only $1.6 million against the cap. That's less than half the price of what seasoned backups are making these days. Some fans want him gone, but there should be no rush to send him packing. Bring him to training camp and let him compete with Bryce Petty for the No. 2 job. If Petty is lights-out in the preseason, there's a decision to make -- a good decision. It would be risky, though, to give the No. 2 job to a player with no regular-season experience.

As for Smith, he could benefit from another year with the Jets. He can continue to be a good soldier, rehabilitate his image in a no-pressure situation and hit the open market in 2017. If he gets a chance to play and plays well, he'd draw considerable interest.

2. 10 x 2: The Jets were one of only five teams that ranked in the top 10 in both total offense and defense. Can you name the other four? Answer below.

3. Williams a top contender: Everybody these days is handing out their postseason awards, and defensive end Leonard Williams is generating a lot of buzz in the NFL Defensive Rookie-of-the-Year conversation. In fact, ESPN's Mel Kiper Jr. named Williams as his top defensive rookieInsider. His top competition will be a couple of cornerbacks, Marcus Peters (Kansas City Chiefs) and Ronald Darby (Buffalo Bills).

It was a blue-collar rookie year for Williams. He established himself as a fantastic run defender, but he didn't make many game-changing plays (only three sacks). To validate his draft status, he will need to become a better pass-rusher. After all, who takes a run stopper with the sixth overall pick? It's no cause for alarm, though. Players improve, and Williams has a high ceiling. People forget that Muhammad Wilkerson had only three sacks in his rookie season.

4. The Big Short: The Jets improved in most statistical categories from 2014 to 2015, but one area that lagged behind was their short-yardage offense. They converted only 68 percent of their third-and-1 rushes (ranked 16th), down from 75 percent in 2014. Right guard Willie Colon, known for his physical style, said in a radio interview he could have made a difference if he hadn't been on injured reserve for most of the season. As for Colon's future, all signs point to him retiring.

5. Time for an encore: The 10-6 season showed the new regime is capable of winning. Now the question is, can it win consistently? Therein lies the bugaboo that has haunted the Jets for, like, forever. Only twice in their 55-year history have the Jets recorded double-digit wins in back-to-back seasons: 1968-1969 and 1985-1986. So there's your challenge, Mike Maccagnan: Build something sustainable.

6. Revisiting the Buffalo debacle: Sorry, I know the wound still is fresh, but I'd like to focus on two plays from the game that illustrate how the Jets and Bills hoped to exploit the other by recycling a play they saw in their film study. It worked for the Bills. For the Jets, not so much.

Tyrod Taylor's 18-yard touchdown run. Remember the 61-yard bomb to DeAndre Hopkins in November, the one on which Darrelle Revis was burned? Of course you do. The Bills ran a similar play, loading up with a heavy formation and using a play-action with only one receiver on a pass route -- Sammy Watkins. The Bills went after Revis, just like the Houston Texans did. This time, Revis, with help from the short field, was all over Watkins. It didn't end well for the Jets because Taylor improvised, breaking containment (Sheldon Richardson was out of position) and running for the touchdown. (As an aside, the play also was reminiscent of Tim Tebow's game-winning run against the Jets in 2011.)

Fitzpatrick's end-zone interception. The Jets used a play they saw from the Washington Redskins two weeks earlier. In that game, Jordan Reed beat Bills cornerback Leodis McKelvin on a post route with a single-high safety in the middle of the field -- an 18-yard touchdown. McKelvin defended it so poorly that it's easy to see why the Jets dialed up the same play. They tried it from the Bills' 14 -- against the same coverage, no less. This time, McKelvin saw it coming. He was in better position than receiver Eric Decker and ... well, you know the rest.

7. Strange game plan: A few days ago, I touched on the Jets' unusually passive use of Revis against the Bills. It seemed like a play-not-to-lose mentality, but that wasn't the case across the board on defense, according to ESPN Stats & Information. In fact, their blitz percentage increased by quarter -- 22, 50, 56 and 67 percent.

8. Season in a nutshell: The season began with their quarterback getting punched out by Enemkpali and it ended with Enemkpali's new team knocking out the Jets. Sorry, I had to say it.

9. Trivia answer: The New England Patriots, Seattle Seahawks, Arizona Cardinals and Tampa Bay Buccaneers also finished in the top 10 on both sides of the ball. The Bucs and Jets were the only teams in that group not to make the playoffs. The Bucs fired their coach.
 
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flgreen

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Unreal. Only twice in the Jets' history have they won 10 games back to back. Ouch
 
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10 things Jets GM Mike Maccagnan must do this offseason to keep Gang Green moving forward

NEW YORK DAILY NEWS Saturday, January 9, 2016, 3:42 PM A A A

Manish Mehta


Coming off a franchise-record season, Jets need to ink Ryan Fitzpatrick to multi-year deal.
Mike Maccagnan shook more hands and kissed more babies than Bush, Clinton, Trump, Rubio and Sanders combined during his year-long victory lap during the Jets’ 10-win season. The popular general manager, however, has plenty to prove in the coming months. The Jets might have been on the doorstep of the playoffs, but the rebuilding phase is still in its infancy.

The Jets’ brain trust must be smart, creative and unafraid to take chances to continue what it started last year. Patience is a virtue, but very few have it in a win-now, bottom-line industry that demands results. Maccagnan must be aggressive, but not reckless. Foresight has its privileges.


The Daily News gives GM Mike Maccagnan a blue-print for how he should handle the offseason.
The Daily News’ Top 10 To-Do list this offseason will set the Jets on the right path in 2016 and beyond. (You’re welcome, Mike).

RE-SIGN RYAN FITZPATRICK TO MULTI-YEAR CONTRACT

This is the ultimate no-brainer. The only real question is: How much? The Texans gave Brian Hoyer a 2-year, $10.5 million deal with $4.75 million in front-loaded guarantees last offseason. The Rams’ two-year extension for Nick Foles a year ago included $13.8 million in guarantees.

Fitzpatrick, coming off a franchise-record 31 touchdown passes, was the engine of the most prolific offense in Jets history. A three-year deal with front-loaded guarantees just north of Foles’ amount would be fair. The Jets should have an escape hatch after the first two seasons, so the total value of a three-year deal isn’t that important. The meat of the deal would be Fitzpatrick’s real guarantees in 2016 and 2017.




TRADE MUHAMMAD WILKERSON

Sounds blasphemous, right? After all, who trades away a Pro Bowl defensive lineman coming off a career-high 12-sack season? A savvy, forward-thinking person, that’s who.

Although Todd Bowles would love to have Wilkerson, Sheldon Richardson, Damon Harrison and Leonard Williams for the next 10 years, it’s simply not financially practical. Besides, the Jets don’t need all of them to be a dominant defensive line. Wilkerson can be a powerful trading chip that could yield a first-round pick to strengthen an area of need.

A tag-and-trade scenario makes the most sense. The Jets would have to apply the franchise tag (for about $16 million in 2016) and look for a trading partner willing to give up a first-rounder and pay Wilkerson the $40-$50 million in guarantees that he desires. That’s not easy. There were no teams willing to trade a top-15 pick in last year’s draft for Wilkerson, but his breakout 2015 campaign only enhanced his worth and could tempt a team to part with a high pick this time.

It’s tricky, but not unprecedented. In 2008, the Chiefs tagged-and-traded star Jared Allen to the Vikings for multiple picks (including a first-rounder) to clear the way for young pass rusher Tamba Hali. The Packers tagged-and-traded defensive lineman Corey Williams in the same offseason. Bill Belichick tagged-and-traded Matt Cassel (along with a linebacker on the decline) to the Chiefs for the No. 34 overall pick in 2009.

Wilkerson is a very good player, but there’s a belief with the Jets that Bowles’ scheme brings out the best in very good players. The log-jam along the defensive line has also prevented Sheldon Richardson, regarded around the league as the superior talent, from maximizing his potential as a pass-rusher. Trading Wilkerson will yield plenty of benefits, including freeing up $16 million to allocate to other important pieces. Worst case scenario: The Jets get a compensatory pick if Wilkerson walks after playing the 2016 season on the franchise tag.

Wilkerson is expected to have a full recovery after undergoing successful surgery to repair a broken fibula last week. The injury shouldn’t hurt his value in any trade scenario.


SIGN NT DAMON HARRISON TO MULTI-YEAR DEAL

Think about this: How formidable will Bowles’ defense be for the next few years with Harrison, Richardson and Williams? Harrison was a run-stuffing difference maker for Bowles, who threw out the G word — great — when describing the former undrafted free agent’s play this season. It will likely cost the Jets about $4-$5 million per year to retain Harrison, but this needs to happen. The Jets don’t have the same boatload of money under the salary cap as last year (more on that later), but Harrison should be a priority.

RE-WORK D’BRICKASHAW FERGUSON’S CONTRACT

The veteran left tackle has been a rock-solid presence for a decade, but will count an astronomical $14.1 million against the 2016 cap. The Jets, who will have about $17 million under the projected $147-$153 million cap, need to free up more money. Reducing Ferguson’s cap number by $5-8 million is a good start.

Ferguson has two years remaining on an eight-year, $73.6 million contract. He’s scheduled to earn $8.65 million in base salary with a $1 million roster bonus (due at the start of the new league year in March) and $750,000 workout bonus. It would be a surprise if both sides didn’t work out a fair compromise that includes a reduced salary.

ASK ANTONIO CROMARTIE TO TAKE SHARP PAY CUT… OR CUT HIM


There’s no chance that Cromartie, who rebounded from a shaky first half of the season with a solid December, will see the $8 million he’s scheduled to make in 2016. Bowles isn’t as deep at cornerback as he appeared about three months ago.

Darrelle Revis and Buster Skrine are the only solid starters. (And Revis is hardly the dominant force that many, including me, believed he would be for 2-3 more years). Dee Milliner isn’t reliable. Marcus Williams is a quality backup.

Cromartie, who will turn 32 this spring, understands Bowles’ system and is still a quality starter. Cutting his 2016 salary to $2-$3 million would make sense. Another option: Cut Cromartie and let him gauge the market before bringing him back at a reduced rate.

RE-SIGN BILAL POWELL

Here’s the dilemma: Chris Ivory is a more dynamic player, but he A) will cost more than Powell, and B) is always nicked up. Ivory started off on fire before his production dipped due to several reasons, including his inability to stay healthy. That’s been Ivory’s bugaboo for much of his career. His ferocious running style lends itself to constant bumps and bruises.

Although Powell missed five games due to an ankle injury, his value as a runner, pass catcher and pass-protector was evident during the Jets’ December push to the playoffs. Maccagnan wouldn’t likely have to give much more than the one-year, $2 million deal last year to retain him. He’s the smarter option to bring back. They can add another valuable piece in the backfield in the draft.


DRAFT A SPEED EDGE RUSHER

Bowles cited a need to get faster next year. Finding a difference maker on the edge to get consistent heat on the quarterback will be essential. The Jets, who have the No. 20 overall pick in the upcoming draft, played Sheldon Richardson out of position on the outside out of necessity in a quasi 4-3 scheme. It’s time to get back to Bowles’ bread-and-butter: A 3-4 front with a true speed rusher at outside linebacker. Lorenzo Mauldin is still learning the nuances of dropping into coverage. He might be able to handle the dirty work, but the Jets could use a heat-seeking missile to create pass-rushing havoc from the edge.

DRAFT A QUARTERBACK

Wait a second. Aren’t we already advocating to re-sign Fitzpatrick? Aren’t the Jets cautiously optimistic that they can develop Bryce Petty over the next couple years? Sure, but Maccagnan would be wise to adopt the Ron Wolf logic with quarterbacks: Draft one every year. It’s the most important position in team sports. Maccagnan is a life-long scout, so if he and his brain trust have a strong conviction on a signal caller, take him. It doesn’t matter if it’s in the first or seventh round. It never hurts to invest in a quarterback.



FIND A TACKLE

Chan Gailey needs an upgrade at right tackle. Breno Giacomini was pedestrian at best. Ferguson, 32, isn’t getting any younger, either, so landing a versatile pass protector on the outside in one of the premium rounds in the draft makes the most sense.



DO NOT RESTRUCTURE DARRELLE REVIS’ CONTRACT


Revis Island is gone and never coming back no matter how many apologists and excuse makers come out of the woodwork. Revis is still a solid/good player, but the shutdown days are over. The Jets didn’t pay him $39 million fully guaranteed in the first three years of a 5-year, $70 million deal to just marginalize mediocre receivers. You get that type of money to erase the best of the best, which the 30-year-old Revis didn’t do.

The Jets might need to move around some money to sign pivotal pieces this offseason, but they must resist the temptation to take that path with Revis’ deal. The Jets have an easy escape hatch after the 2017 season. He has no guaranteed money after that point, so the team could cut him with minimal damage after 2017. The Jets would accrue a $1.7 million dead money charge and have $9.2 million in savings in 2018, per overthecap.com.

Given Revis’ descent from the mountaintop — and unpredictable rate of decline over the next two years — it would be foolish to push more guaranteed money into his deal beyond 2017 just to open up some cap space now.
 
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Mainejet

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5. Time for an encore: The 10-6 season showed the new regime is capable of winning. Now the question is, can it win consistently? Therein lies the bugaboo that has haunted the Jets for, like, forever. Only twice in their 55-year history have the Jets recorded double-digit wins in back-to-back seasons: 1968-1969 and 1985-1986. So there's your challenge, Mike Maccagnan: Build something sustainable.

I really love this, but I would also add consistently beating the teams that you are better than. For like one year under Rex (2010) we kicked the Bills A$$ twice that season. That's when I started to believe this team was an upper echelon team. But that was very short lived. Now, the Bills have owned us two seasons running. It tends to indicate once again that the Jets 10 wins were a product of an easy schedule.

At the end of the day the Jets are the far more talented team than the Bills, they should have beaten them twice this season with relative ease. Instead, they screwed the pooch. If the Jets did absolutely nothing to make the team better during this offseason, came back in 2016 with the identical roster they have now, beating the teams they are supposed to beat is priority 1.

I also take issue with Todd Bowles stroking the team after the Cowboys game. They barely eked out a victory against a far inferior team when objectively that game had 31-0 written all over it. The Jets should have wiped their A$$es with the Cowboys. The Cowboys were el stinko. Instead of getting on the players for lackluster execution he tells them, "It wasn't pretty but we'll take it all season if we have to". When the HC says things like that, those kind of wins become habit forming. It's that tendency to play down to their competition that got the Jets in trouble in Buffalo IMO.
 
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LGM

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We get the point even before youve repeated it 300 times in the last week

You love Rex. Rex is a great HC. you hate Todd Bowles. Todd Bowles sucks as a HC

Ill just copy this post and repaste it when you launch diatribe 301-10000 in your trolling attempts to succeed in driving away all the Jet fans Elias is trying to add to grow this forum
 
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