With that issue now out of the way, the question is;
What would you give to acquire Purple Jesus as a NJJ RB?
His 2015 salary is $15.4M, with $2M going to be charged to the Vikkys in any event, (signing bonus pro rata final year).
That leaves the acquiring team on the hook for $13.4M this year.
The $15M he is contracted for in 2016 and $17M in 2017 are NOT binding and the team can choose to walk away scott free after 2015 with no residual dead cap money.
This leaves a looming question of renegotiation hanging in the air.
Will he or won't he?
I ASSUME no team is going to accept that kind of contract money without a new agreement & certainly is not going to be willing to part with squat for draft picks for a 1 year rental - even if he is the best RB on Earth at this time.
(The thing is, AP can get his 2,000 yards WITHOUT OL help, he's THAT good.)
The current market value of such a RB is the tip of any iceberg.
BEAST MODE (2 years) will be getting $12M. Peterson is better than Lynch.
The next (6) top RBs are getting $8M, ON AVERAGE, and none of them is as good as Peterson either - in fact, only the next (4) play in the same talent ballpark even, and Murray is questionable as to whether it was him or that DAL OL that was so good.
Jamaal Charles - $9M (2 years)
Adrian Foster - $8.7M
LeSean McCoy - $8M
DeMarco Murray - $8M
Matt Forte - $7.6M
Jonathan Stewart - $7.3M
Now we must understand market forces.
Adrian Peterson exists in a free agent market that values his talent at in excess of $10M per season, even with his baggage, and that talent is LIKELY to last around 4 more years at least, based on the histories of such top backs.
Peterson has regularly missed a game or two each season, but his total production is rather constant over time - about 4.6 ypa with an additional few hundred receiving yards at 8+ ypa, thrown in for good measure.
This is a COMPLETE RB, without defect to his game, who can run inside, outside, across the middle as a receiver, and pound the living crap out of just about anyone who gets in his way - as evidenced by 2 plays in particular. (The total annihilation trucking of both William Gay and Al Harris a few years ago.)
In particular, as regards his prospects for this one season, he is probably in the best health he's been in for several years, due to the recovery time he's had resulting from his little Commissioner's List vacation.
That makes his $13M salary affordable - for a contender team, THIS season.
For a 1 year rental, a contender team, picking later in the draft, may even see that one year rental worth as high as a 5th round pick, (late 4th being almost equivalent to a high 5th rounder).
But that is where it all comes to a screeching halt - after 1 season.
Beyond that we will be in AP's territory and it will depend on how valuable he sees himself.
One thing HYATT™ does not see is the last (2) years of his current contract being paid by any team. Not even MIN intended to ever honor that last $32M portion of his 6 year/$86M contract, thought they could well afford it as Bilgewater's rookie deal runs through 2017 - or 2018, (with that new CBA 5th year option for 1st round picks).
HYATT™'s proposal would be honor his current $13M salary, (MIN still has to suck up that remaining $2M of signing bonus cap hit in any event, by league rules), offer up a high 6th or late 5th round pick to MIN to gain exclusive rights and not have to try to acquire him on the open market if they cut him and invalidate his contract, and open discussions on an incentive laden contract in place of the final 2 years of his current deal - topping out at or around that $9M/year mark that Jamaal Charles is getting from KC.
I don't see any club digging deeper than that, and Peterson SHOULD accept such a proposal.
His alternative is to go on the open market and play annual mercenary the way MEvis did, to finish out the career of a 30 year old RB - which actually may end up paying him more than the $10M/year average (over 3 years) that HYATT™ proposes.
At first glance it may SEEM like too much money, but the question you have to ask yourself is how much is too much to acquire a "difference maker"? - because All Day is All That, and more, for any decent QB and offense with a solid defense on the other side of the ball able to balance the team's attack.
AP CAN be the difference between just a playoff birth and an actual title, with a game manager like Fitzpatrick at the helm.
BEAST MODE should have taught y'all that much.