I don't know how anyone can predict what the BPA will be at 20. The most talent in this draft is on the defensive line
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A BPA list isn't usually scripted as a 1-100 list, where you assign a ranking for each player. Players are placed on tiers, and the lower you fall, usually the less difference there is between these different tiers.
Often a team will have up to a dozen players more or less equally ranked on a tier. Taking BPA doesn't mean you have to take someone ranked 19th before someone you have ranked 22nd. In all likelihood they are the same tier. Difference is very marginal
It's MUCH harder to stick to tier philosophy when you're ranked in the top 5 or 10 picks because these groupings are much smaller. Sometimes you get handed a Leonard Williams....you need to take him because there because you get obvious value.
For the Jets to take BPA at 20, it's quite likely they'll have a target on the OL that is available to them.
"reaching" or "filling needs" usually is a scenario where you see a QB like Hackenburg taken 2 or 3 tiers early because the team has nobody to play QB. Or the Dolphins a couple years back taking Juwan James in the 1st because of a severe run on OL.
Besides.... Drafting strictly by BPA or by need is a complete myth. Every team uses a hybrid style whether they admit it or not.