I do not consider myself a Genobot or a Fitz hater but I hope the Jets hang tough with their present offer as I do not want Fitz back for three reasons.
First, I consider Fitz' floor in wins this year to be 6 games while I believe Geno's is 3 or 4. However, I believe that Fitz' ceiling is 9 wins whereas I believe that if the light goes on for Geno with these weapons and with this coaching staff his ceiling is 11 games. I will take the higher ceiling any time over the higher floor. For Fitz there is not much potential to blow up this season. His arm and age are what they are. He has already had the benefit of playing in this system and with these weapons. For Geno his potential is based on playing in a better system with better weapons and with hopefully a better football maturity. It's all a crapshoot but I do not think anyone can reasonably argue that if everything falls in place for both players Geno has the higher ceiling for wins. I saw how bad Geno was in Geno's first two seasons as everyone else did . I also know that he was the youngest starting QB for each of his two seasons and this year would still be the 7th youngest starting QB. Also, he played for a coach for whom offense was a foreign concept and played with mostly off the street receivers after coming from the air raid system at WVU. In other words he had a lot going against him. I also know he was rumored to go at the top or near the top of the draft when he came out and he dropped because he was immature in his interviews. He also engineered 5 fourth quarter comebacks his rookie season and threw an unbelievable 43 passes for a gain of 20 or more yards. I believe there may be something there. It 's also possible that there is not. But I would like to find out first before another team finds out next year.
2 Second, I am interested in sustainable success. If Fitz somehow pulls off 10 wins this year then what? Maybe another good year in 2017? Perhaps. However, if Geno (or for that matter any of the young guys) pulls off 10 wins the Jets become perennial playoff contenders just like every other team with a good QB does. As much as I enjoyed 2010 and 2011 it became 2012 very quickly. I also believe it is a lot easier to build a team and look like Belicheck if your QB is in place. The Jets have drafted 9 QBs in the last 11 years. That is an entire draft of players. There is no sense drafting them if you are not going to develop them.
3 Finally, paying Fitz a $12 million contract this year will come off of next year's salary cap. We do have some room but not like we did after 2014. I would like the Jets to become proactive and sign in advance players we would like to keep in the last year of their contract before they become free agents. Also, I would like to fill some urgent holes next offseason, particularly the oline and finding a top receiver to replace Marshall eventually.
I said in another post all Mac has to do to sign Fitz is increase the dollars (unguaranteed) in years two and three to $12 or $15 million per year so that Fitz does not feel trapped into a bad contract in years two and three. The Jets then can cut him after this year with no additional consequences except the pro rated $6 million bonus Fitz would get this year. This would get the deal done in 10 seconds with no further obligation on the Jets. That they seem not to be offering it indicates to me that they really may prefer to roll with Geno and this Fitz negotiation is a Kabuki dance for the fans' sake to let them know they tried. We'll see.
Agree with your last paragraph, if you want Fitz back, why offer 6? If he's that bad, you could sign geno for less.
It's double speak, like saying you're only going to eat healthy and then buying an unlimited membership to a Chinese buffet.
With regard to your question about what follows a successful year by Fitz, if he's the starter, he stays the starter until his performance slips and/or another qb passes him by. We're not talking about a5 year deal here. Fitz doesn't think he's Aaron Rodgers.
If you look at money spent at the qb position over the course of pettys contract, the next 4 years, it's not a lot.
We have options young and old, experienced and projects. Fitz is basically 8 per, 6 base and 2 bonus over 3 years.
So $8 mill to Fitz, $1.3 guaranteed to geno this year only, hack and petty on rookie deals. Hack is 4 year $4.66 mill, 2016 cap hit of $847,000, and petty 4 year 2.8 mill, or $700,000/year.
2016- $8+$1.3+$0.847+$0.7=$10.847 million
2017-19-no geno=$9.547 million
If Fitz accepts the current deal, we are roughly averaging 10 million per year at the qb position with no roster moves.
For 11 million per year, Fitz is the lowest paid starter in football, geno is his backup, and petty and hack are projects. 11 million at the qb position for 4qbs and a30/15 starter is an insanely low cap hit. No one can say we are wasting money at that rate. Say Fitz gets his way, and he makes an extra 2 per year, that's an average of 13 per year. Brock and Bradford have accomplished nothing and make more than our entire unit, by a lot.
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